The European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) photographs every week the progress of the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, the one that causes Covid-19, based on data from the latest 14 days. The last time we talked about it was two weeks ago. In such a short time it is interesting to note that the situation is continuing to worsen.
The map shown above graphically represents a “combined indicator”, which does not take into account a single data, but which brings together more information to offer the current situation at a glance. Here’s how the calculation is done:
- Green areas – The areas indicated in green are those in which the positive cases are less than 50 per 100,000 inhabitants and the percentage of positive in the tests does not exceed 4 percent, or in which the first value does not go beyond 75 cases, but with a rate of less than 1%.
- Orange areas – Those in which there is less than 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, but the positivity rate is higher than 4 percent, or with cases between 50 and 75, but with a positivity of 1%, or still with a number of cases between 75 and 100 and rate below 4%.
- Red zones – Between 75 and 200 cases with a rate higher than 4% or between 200 and 500 cases per 100,000 inhabitants.
- Dark red areas – Those where there are over 500 cases per 100,000 inhabitants.
- Gray areas – Those for which data is insufficient.
We compared the ECDC data of July 29 with those of yesterday, August 12. It is clear that the situation has worsened in various parts of Europe, particularly in the north, where green areas have drastically reduced in the Scandinavian countries. In the western quadrant, starting from the north, Iceland, Ireland, France and Spain worsen, while the situation changes in the Netherlands, where the dark red disappears but the orange band widens.
In Germany there is only a deterioration in the south, while the countries of Eastern Europe are resisting. The situation in Croatia is stable, while in Italy only Molise remains green and Calabria, Marche and Tuscany pass from orange to red.